Richard Jancak vs Miroslav Dolezal 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13046369

Played Aug 30Finished

Richard Jancak

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

411116411511––

Miroslav Dolezal

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:36 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%

Graded at full time

Richard Jancak to win

56.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingRichard Jancak above · Miroslav Dolezal below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 4-11

Set 4 · 4-9

Point 60 set 4, 4-9 — our read held Richard Jancak at 56.2%

60 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

H2H Richard Jancak 2–4 Miroslav Dolezal Richard Jancak has won 2 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 2–4Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 07:36

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Jancak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

2-4 in 6

Dolezal

Correct

gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Jancak 1281 vs Dolezal 1255

Jancak

Wrong

both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Jancak 40% vs Dolezal 60%

Dolezal

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Jancak 60% vs Dolezal 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Jancak -1 · Dolezal +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jancak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJancak 1.67 / Dolezal 2.10

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Dolezal)+1.8pp

TT Cup · #13046369

Jancak1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite56% won 63 of 112

Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23

Up 1–0, closes it65% 37 of 57

Dolezal2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog41% won 11 of 27

Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeJancak2wins

AwayDolezal4wins

1 of 6 to a deciderDolezal leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeJancakn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayDolezal75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Jancak2Dolezal4n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6

S2Jancak4Dolezal2n = 6Jancak took 4 of 6

S3Jancak2Dolezal4n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6

S4Jancak3Dolezal3n = 6split evenly

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home233%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away117%

1–3Four sets, away350%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 6 meetings

MetricJancakDolezalJ − DBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match38.339.0−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJancakDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 263 vs 16 / 3650.2%44.4%132 / 263 vs 16 / 36Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.534.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Jancak

Jancak 1.67/Dolezal 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Jancak · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Dolezal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record6

LAug 30 · 18:10R. Jancak—411451M. Dolezal—11611113

LAug 23 · 20:15R. Jancak—111071192M. Dolezal—912111113

WAug 3 · 20:45R. Jancak—111111113M. Dolezal—713851

LAug 3 · 17:45R. Jancak—714991M. Dolezal—111211113

LJul 20 · 08:44R. Jancak—1011951M. Dolezal—12811113

WJul 20 · 07:15R. Jancak—71111113M. Dolezal—115781

R. Jancak10

LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113 WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113 LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152 LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113 LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101 LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113 LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261 LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 WSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123

M. Dolezal10

WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113 LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113 WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113 WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113 LAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113 WAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662 WAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113 WAug 23 · 20:49M. Dolezal2.251111113L. Jr1.578830 WAug 23 · 20:15R. Jancak1.67111071192M. Dolezal2.10912111113 LAug 23 · 19:15M. Dolezal3.004890J. Jnr1.361111113

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