TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13046377
Played Aug 30Finished
Bartolomej Jonas
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181012116711811
Miroslav Dolezal
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartolomej Jonas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBartolomej Jonas above · Miroslav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 95 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Bartolomej Jonas at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:36What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jonas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jonas 1364 vs Dolezal 1239
Jonas
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jonas 60% vs Dolezal 80%
Dolezal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jonas 60% vs Dolezal 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jonas -1 · Dolezal +3
Dolezal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jonas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJonas 1.73 / Dolezal 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jonas)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13046377
Jonas1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite35% won 6 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Dolezal2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 11 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJonasDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 82 vs 14 / 3342.7%42.4%35 / 82 vs 14 / 33Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match40.333.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JonasJonas 1.73/Dolezal 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jonas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
B. Jonas10
WAug 30 · 20:44B. Jonas1.8081111113R. Jancak1.91119681WAug 30 · 19:40B. Jonas1.83111111143R. Jancak1.836137121LAug 30 · 17:40B. Jonas1.67711121192J. Oleksik2.10115146113WAug 29 · 17:15F. Mandrysz1.7711951292B. Jonas1.877111110113LAug 29 · 15:40P. Chlad1.6113613113B. Jonas2.2011111191WAug 29 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.10881171B. Jonas1.6711113113WAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas1.91111111113R. Jancak1.80135981LAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas1.8381112982R. Jancak1.831171011113LAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas1.73811751R. Jancak2.0011911113WAug 8 · 18:40B. Jonas1.83158911113I. Jemelka1.83131111492
M. Dolezal10
WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113WAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 18:10R. Jancak1.67411451M. Dolezal2.1011611113WAug 23 · 20:49M. Dolezal2.251111113L. Jr1.578830WAug 23 · 20:15R. Jancak1.67111071192M. Dolezal2.10912111113LAug 23 · 19:15M. Dolezal3.004890J. Jnr1.361111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.