TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13046445
Played Aug 30Finished
Bartolomej Jonas
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11611131171412––
Richard Jancak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartolomej Jonas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBartolomej Jonas above · Richard Jancak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 85 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Bartolomej Jonas at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Bartolomej Jonas 3–2 Richard Jancak Richard Jancak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:06What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jancak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jonas 1357 vs Jancak 1309
Jonas
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jonas 40% vs Jancak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jonas 50% vs Jancak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jonas -2 · Jancak -3
Jancak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jonas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jancak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJonas 1.83 / Jancak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jonas)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13046445
Jonas1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Jancak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJonas3wins
AwayJancak2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderJonas leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJonasn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJancak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jonas1Jancak4n = 5Jancak took 4 of 5
S2Jonas4Jancak1n = 5Jonas took 4 of 5
S3Jonas3Jancak2n = 5Jonas took 3 of 5
S4Jonas2Jancak3n = 5Jancak took 3 of 5
S5Jonas2Jancak1n = 3Jonas took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJonasJancakJonas − JancakBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match44.043.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJonasJancakBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 83 vs 132 / 26142.2%50.6%35 / 83 vs 132 / 261Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JonasJonas 1.83/Jancak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jonas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jonas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas—111111113R. Jancak—135981
LAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas—81112982R. Jancak—1171011113
LAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas—811751R. Jancak—11911113
WMar 22 · 09:55B. Jonas—914511113R. Jancak—111211932
WMar 22 · 09:15B. Jonas—117117113R. Jancak—41181182
B. Jonas10
WAug 30 · 20:44B. Jonas1.8081111113R. Jancak1.91119681LAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113LAug 30 · 17:40B. Jonas1.67711121192J. Oleksik2.10115146113WAug 29 · 17:15F. Mandrysz1.7711951292B. Jonas1.877111110113LAug 29 · 15:40P. Chlad1.6113613113B. Jonas2.2011111191WAug 29 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.10881171B. Jonas1.6711113113WAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas1.91111111113R. Jancak1.80135981LAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas1.8381112982R. Jancak1.831171011113LAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas1.73811751R. Jancak2.0011911113WAug 8 · 18:40B. Jonas1.83158911113I. Jemelka1.83131111492
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LAug 30 · 20:44B. Jonas1.8081111113R. Jancak1.91119681LAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas1.91111111113R. Jancak1.80135981WAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas1.8381112982R. Jancak1.831171011113WAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas1.73811751R. Jancak2.0011911113
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