TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13049600
Played Aug 30Finished
Bartolomej Jonas
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119116118––
Richard Jancak
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingBartolomej Jonas above · Richard Jancak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8
75 points played in total.
H2H Bartolomej Jonas 4–2 Richard Jancak Richard Jancak has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jonas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jancak form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJonas 1.80 / Jancak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jonas)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13049600
Jonas1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite35% won 6 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Jancak1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 42 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back35% 18 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJonas4wins
AwayJancak2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderJonas leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJonasn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJancak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jonas2Jancak4n = 6Jancak took 4 of 6
S2Jonas4Jancak2n = 6Jonas took 4 of 6
S3Jonas4Jancak2n = 6Jonas took 4 of 6
S4Jonas3Jancak3n = 6split evenly
S5Jonas2Jancak1n = 3Jonas took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricJonasJancakJonas − JancakBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match44.542.2+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJonasJancakBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 84 vs 132 / 26242.9%50.4%36 / 84 vs 132 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JonasJonas 1.80/Jancak 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jonas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jonas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 30 · 19:40B. Jonas—111111143R. Jancak—6137121
WAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas—111111113R. Jancak—135981
LAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas—81112982R. Jancak—1171011113
LAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas—811751R. Jancak—11911113
WMar 22 · 09:55B. Jonas—914511113R. Jancak—111211932
WMar 22 · 09:15B. Jonas—117117113R. Jancak—41181182
B. Jonas10
WAug 30 · 19:40B. Jonas1.83111111143R. Jancak1.836137121LAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113LAug 30 · 17:40B. Jonas1.67711121192J. Oleksik2.10115146113WAug 29 · 17:15F. Mandrysz1.7711951292B. Jonas1.877111110113LAug 29 · 15:40P. Chlad1.6113613113B. Jonas2.2011111191WAug 29 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.10881171B. Jonas1.6711113113WAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas1.91111111113R. Jancak1.80135981LAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas1.8381112982R. Jancak1.831171011113LAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas1.73811751R. Jancak2.0011911113WAug 8 · 18:40B. Jonas1.83158911113I. Jemelka1.83131111492
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LAug 30 · 19:40B. Jonas1.83111111143R. Jancak1.836137121LAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas1.91111111113R. Jancak1.80135981WAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas1.8381112982R. Jancak1.831171011113WAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas1.73811751R. Jancak2.0011911113
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