TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13046328
Played Aug 30Finished
Bartolomej Jonas
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111151214116911
Jan Oleksik
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:19 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeBartolomej Jonas to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingBartolomej Jonas above · Jan Oleksik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Bartolomej Jonas at 55.8%
97 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jonas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jonas 1380 vs Oleksik 1214
Jonas
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jonas 60% vs Oleksik 20%
Jonas
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jonas 60% vs Oleksik 20%
Jonas
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jonas +1 · Oleksik -4
Oleksik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jonas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oleksik form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJonas 1.67 / Oleksik 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jonas)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13046328
Jonas1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite35% won 6 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Oleksik2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 7 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back57% 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJonasOleksikBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 81 vs 33 / 7043.2%47.1%35 / 81 vs 33 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JonasJonas 1.67/Oleksik 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Jonas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oleksik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
B. Jonas10
WAug 30 · 20:44B. Jonas1.8081111113R. Jancak1.91119681WAug 30 · 19:40B. Jonas1.83111111143R. Jancak1.836137121LAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113WAug 29 · 17:15F. Mandrysz1.7711951292B. Jonas1.877111110113LAug 29 · 15:40P. Chlad1.6113613113B. Jonas2.2011111191WAug 29 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.10881171B. Jonas1.6711113113WAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas1.91111111113R. Jancak1.80135981LAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas1.8381112982R. Jancak1.831171011113LAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas1.73811751R. Jancak2.0011911113WAug 8 · 18:40B. Jonas1.83158911113I. Jemelka1.83131111492
J. Oleksik10
LSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113WSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152WSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113WAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113LAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 19:10J. Oleksik2.501111123R. Jancak1.5098100LAug 16 · 20:45L. Jr1.8381111113J. Oleksik1.83118991LAug 16 · 20:15J. Oleksik1.91811881D. Stefek1.8011911113LAug 16 · 18:45L. Jr1.91111197113J. Oleksik1.8089111172
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