TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12445519
Played Aug 16Finished
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118119119––
Jan Oleksik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Jan Oleksik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9
78 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 7–9 Jan Oleksik Lukas Krupnik Jr has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oleksik form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Oleksik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12445519
Jr1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Oleksik1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr5wins
AwayOleksik5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%4 of 6
AwayOleksik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Oleksik4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr6Oleksik4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr5Oleksik5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr4Oleksik5n = 9Oleksik took 5 of 9
S5Jr3Oleksik4n = 7Oleksik took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrOleksikJ − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.842.6+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrOleksikBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 390 vs 33 / 6953.3%47.8%208 / 390 vs 33 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.83/Oleksik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 18:45L. Jr—111197113J. Oleksik—89111172
WAug 9 · 18:40L. Jr—11118113J. Oleksik—771181
WJul 5 · 18:15L. Jr—1111113J. Oleksik—7790
LJun 21 · 20:40L. Jr—11115782J. Oleksik—481111113
LJun 21 · 18:45L. Jr—91161142J. Oleksik—119116113
LJun 14 · 20:50L. Jr—151151J. Oleksik—11118113
WJun 14 · 20:15L. Jr—711119113J. Oleksik—11951152
WJun 7 · 21:05L. Jr—119119113J. Oleksik—71181152
LJun 7 · 17:40L. Jr—9111113102J. Oleksik—1113811123
LMay 17 · 21:08L. Jr—13581192J. Oleksik—1111118113
L. Jr10
WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113LSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 05:40L. Jr1.91111198113L. Stempak1.8077111192LSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142
J. Oleksik10
LSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113WSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152WSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113WAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113LAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 19:10J. Oleksik2.501111123R. Jancak1.5098100WAug 30 · 17:40B. Jonas1.67711121192J. Oleksik2.10115146113LAug 16 · 20:15J. Oleksik1.91811881D. Stefek1.8011911113LAug 16 · 18:45L. Jr1.91111197113J. Oleksik1.8089111172
Upcoming Matches
L. Jr
J. Oleksik
Nothing scheduled
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