TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089282
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Oleksik
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111179111210711
Miroslav Dolezal
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeJan Oleksik to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Oleksik above · Miroslav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jan Oleksik at 55.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jan Oleksik 3–3 Miroslav Dolezal Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Oleksik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oleksik 1267 vs Dolezal 1286
Dolezal
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oleksik 80% vs Dolezal 60%
Oleksik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oleksik 60% vs Dolezal 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oleksik +4 · Dolezal -1
Oleksik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Oleksik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOleksik 1.57 / Dolezal 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Oleksik)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13089282
Oleksik1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite33% won 8 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Dolezal2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 14 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOleksik3wins
AwayDolezal3wins
4 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOleksik75%3 of 4
AwayDolezaln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oleksik4Dolezal2n = 6Oleksik took 4 of 6
S2Oleksik5Dolezal1n = 6Oleksik took 5 of 6
S3Oleksik4Dolezal2n = 6Oleksik took 4 of 6
S4Oleksik1Dolezal3n = 4Dolezal took 3 of 4
S5Oleksik1Dolezal3n = 4Dolezal took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricOleksikDolezalO − DBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.238.0+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOleksikDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 78 vs 19 / 4050%47.5%39 / 78 vs 19 / 40Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.134.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OleksikOleksik 1.57/Dolezal 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Oleksik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik—71191272M. Dolezal—1171110113
WSep 6 · 20:15J. Oleksik—111174113M. Dolezal—87111132
WAug 30 · 21:15J. Oleksik—1111113M. Dolezal—3380
LAug 30 · 20:10J. Oleksik—11911662M. Dolezal—811911113
WAug 9 · 20:50J. Oleksik—1111113M. Dolezal—5690
LAug 9 · 20:10J. Oleksik—1011123122M. Dolezal—1271011143
J. Oleksik10
WSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152WSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113WAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113LAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 19:10J. Oleksik2.501111123R. Jancak1.5098100WAug 30 · 17:40B. Jonas1.67711121192J. Oleksik2.10115146113LAug 16 · 20:45L. Jr1.8381111113J. Oleksik1.83118991LAug 16 · 20:15J. Oleksik1.91811881D. Stefek1.8011911113LAug 16 · 18:45L. Jr1.91111197113J. Oleksik1.8089111172
M. Dolezal10
LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113WAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113WAug 30 · 18:10R. Jancak1.67411451M. Dolezal2.1011611113WAug 23 · 20:49M. Dolezal2.251111113L. Jr1.578830WAug 23 · 20:15R. Jancak1.67111071192M. Dolezal2.10912111113LAug 23 · 19:15M. Dolezal3.004890J. Jnr1.361111113
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