TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480937
Played Aug 23Finished
Richard Jancak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191012711111911
Miroslav Dolezal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:42 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timeRichard Jancak to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRichard Jancak above · Miroslav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Richard Jancak at 71.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Richard Jancak 2–2 Miroslav Dolezal Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jancak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jancak 1460 vs Dolezal 1169
Jancak
Wrong
both rated, 291 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jancak 80% vs Dolezal 40%
Jancak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jancak 80% vs Dolezal 40%
Jancak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jancak +3 · Dolezal -1
Jancak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Jancak) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jancak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJancak 1.67 / Dolezal 2.10
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Jancak)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12480937
Jancak1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 56 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it67% 33 of 49
Dolezal2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 9 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJancak2wins
AwayDolezal2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJancakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDolezal66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jancak1Dolezal3n = 4Dolezal took 3 of 4
S2Jancak3Dolezal1n = 4Jancak took 3 of 4
S3Jancak2Dolezal2n = 4split evenly
S4Jancak2Dolezal2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJancakDolezalJ − DBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match39.537.8+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJancakDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 245 vs 11 / 3051.4%36.7%126 / 245 vs 11 / 30Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.833.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JancakJancak 1.67/Dolezal 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Jancak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 3 · 20:45R. Jancak—111111113M. Dolezal—713851
LAug 3 · 17:45R. Jancak—714991M. Dolezal—111211113
LJul 20 · 08:44R. Jancak—1011951M. Dolezal—12811113
WJul 20 · 07:15R. Jancak—71111113M. Dolezal—115781
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113WSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123
M. Dolezal10
WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113WAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113WAug 30 · 18:10R. Jancak1.67411451M. Dolezal2.1011611113WAug 23 · 20:49M. Dolezal2.251111113L. Jr1.578830LAug 23 · 19:15M. Dolezal3.004890J. Jnr1.361111113
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