TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12304473
Played Jul 26Finished
Richard Jancak
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111191187111012
Kamil Drozd
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingRichard Jancak above · Kamil Drozd below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12
97 points played in total.
H2H Richard Jancak 2–0 Kamil Drozd Kamil Drozd has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jancak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drozd form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJancak 1.44 / Drozd 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Jancak)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #12304473
Jancak1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 41 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it67% 26 of 39
Drozd2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog64% won 9 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJancak2wins
AwayDrozd0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJancak leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJancakDrozdJ − DBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.540.5+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJancakDrozdBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 185 vs 21 / 4650.3%45.7%93 / 185 vs 21 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JancakJancak 1.44/Drozd 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Jancak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Drozd won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 26 · 05:45R. Jancak—101111113K. Drozd—129691
WMay 2 · 05:40R. Jancak—121366113K. Drozd—1011111122
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113WSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123
K. Drozd10
WAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 08:15Z. Chovancik1.8081111113K. Drozd1.91114621WAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd1.9111311153R. Zajac1.804117131LAug 17 · 05:45L. Snr1.83111152113K. Drozd1.8356111142LJul 26 · 08:15M. Sobota1.8011611113K. Drozd1.91611661LJul 26 · 07:15K. Drozd1.67125391L. Jr2.10101111113LJul 26 · 05:45R. Jancak1.53101111113K. Drozd2.38129691LJun 25 · 08:50J. Lysek—911711113K. Drozd—11911882LJun 25 · 08:15Z. Chovancik—411117113K. Drozd—11641152LJun 25 · 07:15K. Drozd2.007101171F. Mandrysz1.6611129113
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