TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082000
Played Sep 5Finished
Dominik Stefek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411911––––
Jiri Vanous
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Vanous to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Stefek above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Vanous at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vanous
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1341 vs Vanous 1373
Vanous
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 0% vs Vanous 40%
Vanous
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 30% vs Vanous 50%
Vanous
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -5 · Vanous -1
Stefek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vanous)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.00 / Vanous 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vanous)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13082000
Stefek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 26 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back29% 7 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Vanous1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 27 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 88 vs 123 / 28247.7%43.6%42 / 88 vs 123 / 282Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanousStefek 2.00/Vanous 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vanous · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vanous won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Stefek10
WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113LAug 30 · 12:38D. Stefek2.501111641O. Vaclahovsky1.5013711113WAug 30 · 11:40D. Stefek2.63951112113O. Vaclahovsky1.44111181042LAug 30 · 10:40D. Stefek1.571163101P. Sturma2.2581111123
J. Vanous10
LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152LSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin1.5391111113J. Vanous2.38119851LSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113WSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113
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