TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060738
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Vanous
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6117111715117811
Kamil Przeczek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Vanous to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Vanous above · Kamil Przeczek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 17-15
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 104 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Vanous at 55.4%
104 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Vanous 3–4 Kamil Przeczek Jiri Vanous has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Przeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vanous 1364 vs Przeczek 1325
Vanous
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vanous 60% vs Przeczek 20%
Vanous
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vanous 30% vs Przeczek 10%
Vanous
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vanous +1 · Przeczek -3
Przeczek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przeczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVanous 2.00 / Przeczek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Przeczek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13060738
Vanous2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 43 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Przeczek1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite44% won 22 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it57% 13 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVanous3wins
AwayPrzeczek4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPrzeczek leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVanous75%3 of 4
AwayPrzeczek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vanous4Przeczek3n = 7Vanous took 4 of 7
S2Vanous3Przeczek4n = 7Przeczek took 4 of 7
S3Vanous4Przeczek3n = 7Vanous took 4 of 7
S4Vanous3Przeczek2n = 5Vanous took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricVanousPrzeczekV − PBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.135.9+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanousPrzeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 277 vs 68 / 15343.7%44.4%121 / 277 vs 68 / 153Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzeczekVanous 2.00/Przeczek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Przeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 1 · 20:10J. Vanous—1111113K. Przeczek—7580
LJul 24 · 17:45J. Vanous—610111182K. Przeczek—111275113
LJun 30 · 19:10J. Vanous—791141K. Przeczek—11115113
LMay 22 · 20:45J. Vanous—614110K. Przeczek—1116133
WMay 22 · 19:45J. Vanous—11911113K. Przeczek—611321
LDec 9 · 21:50J. Vanous—11116462K. Przeczek—971111113
WDec 9 · 19:40J. Vanous—11116113K. Przeczek—981181
J. Vanous10
LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152LSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin1.5391111113J. Vanous2.38119851WSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113
K. Przeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192
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