TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071417
Played Sep 3Finished
Vojtech Molin
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117911511––
Kamil Przeczek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Molin above · Kamil Przeczek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Kamil Przeczek at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Molin 2–2 Kamil Przeczek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:39What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Przeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molin 1418 vs Przeczek 1352
Molin
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 40% vs Przeczek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 50% vs Przeczek 30%
Molin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin +1 · Przeczek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przeczek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.91 / Przeczek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Molin)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13071417
Molin1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 12 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back44% 7 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Przeczek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite44% won 23 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it58% 14 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMolin2wins
AwayPrzeczek2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPrzeczek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin1Przeczek3n = 4Przeczek took 3 of 4
S2Molin2Przeczek2n = 4split evenly
S3Molin2Przeczek2n = 4split evenly
S4Molin2Przeczek1n = 3Molin took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMolinPrzeczekM − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.034.5−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinPrzeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 134 vs 70 / 15646.3%44.9%62 / 134 vs 70 / 156Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinMolin 1.91/Przeczek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 30 · 21:10V. Molin—11850K. Przeczek—1311113
WJun 30 · 20:10V. Molin—81111113K. Przeczek—115961
LJan 28 · 20:40V. Molin—1011741K. Przeczek—12411113
WJan 15 · 18:45V. Molin—13411113K. Przeczek—1111481
V. Molin10
WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 18:40V. Molin1.919570O. Skvor1.801111113
K. Przeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113WSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113LSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192
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