TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063520
Played Sep 2Finished
Vojtech Molin
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511711––––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Molin above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Molin 0–1 Ondrej Skvor Vojtech Molin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skvor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Molin 1405 vs Skvor 1393
Molin
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 60% vs Skvor 20%
Molin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 50% vs Skvor 30%
Molin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin +3 · Skvor -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.91 / Skvor 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skvor)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13063520
Molin1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 11 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back47% 7 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Skvor1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 35 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it66% 23 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMolin0wins
AwaySkvor1wins
Skvor leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMolinSkvorM − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 131 vs 60 / 11845.8%50.9%60 / 131 vs 60 / 118Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorMolin 1.91/Skvor 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 18:40V. Molin—9570O. Skvor—1111113
V. Molin10
WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113
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