TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13083696
Played Sep 5Finished
Martin Lorenc
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111311511511––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMartin Lorenc above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Martin Lorenc 5–1 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Skvor has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lorenc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLorenc 1.44 / Skvor 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Lorenc)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13083696
Lorenc1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite43% won 18 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it63% 10 of 16
Skvor2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 13 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLorenc5wins
AwaySkvor1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLorenc leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLorenc100%4 of 4
AwaySkvorn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lorenc4Skvor2n = 6Lorenc took 4 of 6
S2Lorenc4Skvor2n = 6Lorenc took 4 of 6
S3Lorenc4Skvor2n = 6Lorenc took 4 of 6
S4Lorenc2Skvor2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricLorencSkvorL − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.735.2+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLorencSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 135 vs 65 / 12843.7%50.8%59 / 135 vs 65 / 128Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LorencLorenc 1.44/Skvor 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Lorenc · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 5 · 14:10M. Lorenc—891114113O. Skvor—111171292
WJul 4 · 11:10M. Lorenc—1111612113O. Skvor—38111472
WJun 20 · 11:40M. Lorenc—1111113O. Skvor—7960
WJun 9 · 13:15M. Lorenc—111011153O. Skvor—6123131
WJun 9 · 11:45M. Lorenc—1111113O. Skvor—9930
LApr 18 · 16:10M. Lorenc—611821O. Skvor—11811113
M. Lorenc10
WSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571WSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153WSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120WAug 28 · 17:23P. Chvojka1.71811971M. Lorenc2.0011211113WAug 28 · 15:40M. Lorenc1.8013116113J. Jnr1.911181191LAug 28 · 14:40M. Lorenc1.736111091P. Chvojka2.0011312113
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113
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