Peter Chvojka vs Martin Lorenc 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13037274

Played Aug 28Finished

Peter Chvojka

Home

1.71

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

811112911711––

Martin Lorenc

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Martin Lorenc below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-2

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 70 set 4, 7-11

70 points played in total.

H2H Peter Chvojka 6–4 Martin Lorenc Martin Lorenc has won 4 of their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chvojka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Chvojka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChvojka 1.71 / Lorenc 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Chvojka)+0.4pp

TT Cup · #13037274

Chvojka1.71

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite46% won 32 of 70

Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37

Lorenc2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog37% won 14 of 38

Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 21

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeChvojka6wins

AwayLorenc4wins

5 of 10 to a deciderChvojka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeChvojka80%4 of 5

AwayLorenc60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Chvojka5Lorenc5n = 10split evenly

S2Chvojka7Lorenc3n = 10Chvojka took 7 of 10

S3Chvojka6Lorenc4n = 10Chvojka took 6 of 10

S4Chvojka5Lorenc4n = 9Chvojka took 5 of 9

S5Chvojka2Lorenc3n = 5Lorenc took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricChvojkaLorencC − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.839.5+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricChvojkaLorencBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 279 vs 54 / 12845.9%42.2%128 / 279 vs 54 / 128Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Chvojka

Chvojka 1.71/Lorenc 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.3%

Chvojka · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Lorenc won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 28 · 14:40P. Chvojka—11312113M. Lorenc—6111091

LAug 10 · 09:45P. Chvojka—99111192M. Lorenc—111158113

WJul 9 · 12:50P. Chvojka—1111113M. Lorenc—5450

WJul 9 · 09:45P. Chvojka—71411113M. Lorenc—1112641

WMay 30 · 10:40P. Chvojka—1111311123M. Lorenc—251113102

LMay 16 · 17:25P. Chvojka—1011711102M. Lorenc—124118123

WMay 16 · 14:45P. Chvojka—1513911113M. Lorenc—1311111382

LMay 1 · 12:45P. Chvojka—11126792M. Lorenc—8101111113

WMay 1 · 12:10P. Chvojka—81111113M. Lorenc—119831

LFeb 8 · 09:10P. Chvojka—681191M. Lorenc—11117113

P. Chvojka10

LSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192 LSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192 LSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113 LSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120 WSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242 LSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762 WSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152 WSep 3 · 17:40T. Ogrocki2.0071131162P. Chvojka1.73117118113 LSep 1 · 01:10P. Chvojka1.577480J. Matus2.251111113 LAug 31 · 23:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801112117113P. Chvojka1.91910131172

M. Lorenc10

LSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113 WSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571 WSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153 WSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113 WSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192 LSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113 LSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113 WSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120 WAug 28 · 15:40M. Lorenc1.8013116113J. Jnr1.911181191 LAug 28 · 14:40M. Lorenc1.736111091P. Chvojka2.0011312113

Upcoming Matches

P. Chvojka

Sep 7 · 09:45P. Chvojka1.91O. Vaclahovsky1.80—Sep 7 · 11:15P. Chvojka1.57L. Jr2.25—Sep 7 · 12:15P. Chvojka1.61T. Slivka2.20—

M. Lorenc

Nothing scheduled

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