TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073644
Played Sep 4Finished
Martin Lorenc
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611117116511911
Jan Sevecek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJan Sevecek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Lorenc above · Jan Sevecek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 88 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jan Sevecek at 54.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Martin Lorenc 0–1 Jan Sevecek Martin Lorenc has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sevecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lorenc 1469 vs Sevecek 1457
Lorenc
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lorenc 60% vs Sevecek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lorenc 50% vs Sevecek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lorenc -1 · Sevecek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sevecek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLorenc 2.00 / Sevecek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Sevecek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13073644
Lorenc2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Sevecek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 44 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLorenc0wins
AwaySevecek1wins
Sevecek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLorencSevecekL − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.041.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLorencSevecekBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 130 vs 79 / 13542.3%58.5%55 / 130 vs 79 / 135Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.840.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SevecekLorenc 2.00/Sevecek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Sevecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sevecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 14 · 13:45M. Lorenc—9115101J. Sevecek—11711123
M. Lorenc10
LSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571WSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153WSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120WAug 28 · 17:23P. Chvojka1.71811971M. Lorenc2.0011211113WAug 28 · 15:40M. Lorenc1.8013116113J. Jnr1.911181191LAug 28 · 14:40M. Lorenc1.736111091P. Chvojka2.0011312113
J. Sevecek10
WSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113LAug 28 · 09:08J. Sevecek1.8011118792J. Sindler1.91691111113WAug 28 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.50111147133A. Strelec2.50991111112WAug 28 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80711911113J. Sindler1.9111711992LAug 28 · 05:40J. Sevecek1.538790J. Matus2.381111113LAug 26 · 09:13J. Sevecek1.50612451I. Jemelka2.50111011113WAug 26 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.801111113I. Jemelka1.918920WAug 26 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80111175113J. Sindler1.9194111162
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