TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13077394
Played Sep 4Finished
Oldrich Vaclahovsky
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911811––––
Jan Sevecek
Away
1.87
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeOldrich Vaclahovsky to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOldrich Vaclahovsky above · Jan Sevecek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Oldrich Vaclahovsky at 57.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Vaclahovsky 1–0 Jan Sevecek Jan Sevecek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (51%)
Vaclahovsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vaclahovsky 1396 vs Sevecek 1468
Sevecek
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclahovsky 100% vs Sevecek 60%
Vaclahovsky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclahovsky 60% vs Sevecek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclahovsky +5 · Sevecek +2
Vaclahovsky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vaclahovsky) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclahovsky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclahovsky 1.77 / Sevecek 1.87
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vaclahovsky)+2.6pp
TT Cup · #13077394
Vaclahovsky1.77
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 30 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Sevecek1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog67% won 18 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back43% 3 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVaclahovsky1wins
AwaySevecek0wins
Vaclahovsky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVaclahovskySevecekV − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match40.031.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclahovskySevecekBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 244 vs 80 / 13646.3%58.8%113 / 244 vs 80 / 136Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclahovskyVaclahovsky 1.77/Sevecek 1.87
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vaclahovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sevecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 4 · 10:15O. Vaclahovsky—71111113J. Sevecek—115781
O. Vaclahovsky10
WSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192WSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113WSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113WSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762LSep 3 · 18:40T. Ogrocki1.6112111113O. Vaclahovsky2.201011871LSep 3 · 18:10I. Jemelka2.101011712113O. Vaclahovsky1.67126111052WAug 31 · 23:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801112117113P. Chvojka1.91910131172LAug 31 · 17:15J. Jnr1.71117128113O. Vaclahovsky1.93511101152LAug 31 · 15:40O. Vaclahovsky1.67641161J. Jnr2.1011116113
J. Sevecek10
WSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113WSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113LAug 28 · 09:08J. Sevecek1.8011118792J. Sindler1.91691111113WAug 28 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.50111147133A. Strelec2.50991111112WAug 28 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80711911113J. Sindler1.9111711992LAug 28 · 05:40J. Sevecek1.538790J. Matus2.381111113LAug 26 · 09:13J. Sevecek1.50612451I. Jemelka2.50111011113WAug 26 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.801111113I. Jemelka1.918920WAug 26 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80111175113J. Sindler1.9194111162
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