TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13015547
Played Aug 26Finished
Jan Sevecek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119114711511116
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:21 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeJan Sevecek to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Sevecek above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 86 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jan Sevecek at 55.1%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jan Sevecek 11–8 Jaroslav Sindler Jaroslav Sindler has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:21What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sevecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Sevecek
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sevecek 1453 vs Sindler 1319
Sevecek
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sevecek 60% vs Sindler 20%
Sevecek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sevecek 60% vs Sindler 20%
Sevecek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sevecek +2 · Sindler -4
Sindler
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sevecek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSevecek 1.80 / Sindler 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sevecek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13015547
Sevecek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 42 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Sindler1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 98 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back31% 26 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSevecek7wins
AwaySindler3wins
8 of 10 to a deciderSevecek leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSevecek77.8%7 of 9
AwaySindlern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sevecek9Sindler1n = 10Sevecek took 9 of 10
S2Sevecek7Sindler3n = 10Sevecek took 7 of 10
S3Sevecek3Sindler7n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S4Sevecek3Sindler7n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S5Sevecek5Sindler3n = 8Sevecek took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSevecekSindlerSevecek − SindlerBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match45.645.5+0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSevecekSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 130 vs 367 / 72258.5%50.8%76 / 130 vs 367 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.040.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SevecekSevecek 1.80/Sindler 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sevecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sevecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 06:40J. Sevecek—111175113J. Sindler—94111162
WAug 24 · 08:43J. Sevecek—1215116123J. Sindler—10131311102
LAug 24 · 05:45J. Sevecek—411119112J. Sindler—119811133
WAug 19 · 16:10J. Sevecek—1111411113J. Sindler—98111392
WJul 30 · 16:10J. Sevecek—119119113J. Sindler—61161132
WJul 30 · 11:10J. Sevecek—131133113J. Sindler—117111192
WJul 20 · 10:45J. Sevecek—111011113J. Sindler—812891
LJul 8 · 09:20J. Sevecek—11116892J. Sindler—671111113
WJul 8 · 06:15J. Sevecek—11112113J. Sindler—881151
LJun 23 · 06:45J. Sevecek—146411112J. Sindler—1211117133
J. Sevecek10
WSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113WSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113LAug 28 · 09:08J. Sevecek1.8011118792J. Sindler1.91691111113WAug 28 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.50111147133A. Strelec2.50991111112WAug 28 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80711911113J. Sindler1.9111711992LAug 28 · 05:40J. Sevecek1.538790J. Matus2.381111113LAug 26 · 09:13J. Sevecek1.50612451I. Jemelka2.50111011113WAug 26 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.801111113I. Jemelka1.918920
J. Sindler10
LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113WAug 28 · 09:08J. Sevecek1.8011118792J. Sindler1.91691111113LAug 28 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80711911113J. Sindler1.9111711992
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