TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073601
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Sevecek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117511711811––
Oldrich Vaclahovsky
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Sevecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Sevecek above · Oldrich Vaclahovsky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Sevecek at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sevecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sevecek 1466 vs Vaclahovsky 1349
Sevecek
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sevecek 40% vs Vaclahovsky 60%
Vaclahovsky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sevecek 60% vs Vaclahovsky 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sevecek -1 · Vaclahovsky +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sevecek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sevecek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSevecek 1.73 / Vaclahovsky 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Sevecek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13073601
Sevecek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 44 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Vaclahovsky2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 28 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSevecekVaclahovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 133 vs 110 / 24158.7%45.6%78 / 133 vs 110 / 241Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SevecekSevecek 1.73/Vaclahovsky 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Sevecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vaclahovsky won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Sevecek10
WSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113WSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LAug 28 · 09:08J. Sevecek1.8011118792J. Sindler1.91691111113WAug 28 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.50111147133A. Strelec2.50991111112WAug 28 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80711911113J. Sindler1.9111711992LAug 28 · 05:40J. Sevecek1.538790J. Matus2.381111113LAug 26 · 09:13J. Sevecek1.50612451I. Jemelka2.50111011113WAug 26 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.801111113I. Jemelka1.918920WAug 26 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80111175113J. Sindler1.9194111162
O. Vaclahovsky10
LSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192WSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113WSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762LSep 3 · 18:40T. Ogrocki1.6112111113O. Vaclahovsky2.201011871LSep 3 · 18:10I. Jemelka2.101011712113O. Vaclahovsky1.67126111052WAug 31 · 23:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801112117113P. Chvojka1.91910131172LAug 31 · 17:15J. Jnr1.71117128113O. Vaclahovsky1.93511101152LAug 31 · 15:40O. Vaclahovsky1.67641161J. Jnr2.1011116113
Upcoming Matches
J. Sevecek
Nothing scheduled
O. Vaclahovsky
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