TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063477
Played Sep 2Finished
Vojtech Molin
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131315311––––
Michal Janik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Janik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Molin above · Michal Janik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 66 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Michal Janik at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Molin 3–1 Michal Janik Michal Janik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Molin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Molin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molin 1421 vs Janik 1389
Molin
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 60% vs Janik 40%
Molin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 50% vs Janik 30%
Molin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin -1 · Janik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Janik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.80 / Janik 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Janik)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13063477
Molin1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 15 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Janik1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 32 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMolin3wins
AwayJanik1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMolin leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin2Janik2n = 4split evenly
S2Molin2Janik2n = 4split evenly
S3Molin1Janik3n = 4Janik took 3 of 4
S4Molin2Janik1n = 3Molin took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMolinJanikM − JBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.537.8+3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinJanikBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 130 vs 119 / 27046.2%44.1%60 / 130 vs 119 / 270Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanikMolin 1.80/Janik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Janik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Janik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LApr 15 · 19:15V. Molin—71090M. Janik—1112113
WDec 10 · 13:50V. Molin—91111113M. Janik—112891
WDec 10 · 13:10V. Molin—111199113M. Janik—89111192
WDec 5 · 07:40V. Molin—116811113M. Janik—81111362
V. Molin10
WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 18:40V. Molin1.919570O. Skvor1.801111113
M. Janik10
WSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123LSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152WSep 2 · 18:10M. Janik2.001111119113O. Skvor1.7313761132WSep 2 · 16:39O. Skvor1.731011971M. Janik2.0012711113LSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481LSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik2.00571181O. Skvor1.7311117113WAug 27 · 20:38K. Zeman1.80711981M. Janik1.9111811113LAug 27 · 19:40V. Reska2.00111011113M. Janik1.73912741LAug 27 · 19:10F. Theodor2.1071111113M. Janik1.67118431
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