TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029199
Played Aug 27Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711118114113––
Michal Janik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Janik to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Michal Janik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 66 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Michal Janik at 58.6%
66 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Janik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1311 vs Janik 1423
Janik
Wrong
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 40% vs Janik 60%
Janik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 30% vs Janik 60%
Janik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor -2 · Janik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Janik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 2.10 / Janik 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Janik)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13029199
Theodor2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 13 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back9% 2 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Janik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite41% won 21 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it55% 11 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorJanikBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 153 vs 116 / 26242.5%44.3%65 / 153 vs 116 / 262Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanikTheodor 2.10/Janik 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Janik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Theodor won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Theodor10
LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113WSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551WAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482LAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113WAug 31 · 17:40F. Theodor1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.387650WAug 30 · 17:09O. Skvor1.578630F. Theodor2.251111113LAug 30 · 15:45F. Theodor2.00113741O. Skvor1.7371111113
M. Janik10
WSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152WSep 2 · 18:10M. Janik2.001111119113O. Skvor1.7313761132WSep 2 · 16:39O. Skvor1.731011971M. Janik2.0012711113LSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481LSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik2.00571181O. Skvor1.7311117113WAug 27 · 20:38K. Zeman1.80711981M. Janik1.9111811113LAug 27 · 19:40V. Reska2.00111011113M. Janik1.73912741
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