TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13032379
Played Aug 27Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118911811––
Michal Janik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Michal Janik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 4–2 Michal Janik Michal Janik has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.80 / Janik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zeman)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13032379
Zeman1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 60 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Janik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 34 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZeman4wins
AwayJanik2wins
4 of 6 to a deciderZeman leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman60%3 of 5
AwayJanikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman5Janik1n = 6Zeman took 5 of 6
S2Zeman3Janik3n = 6split evenly
S3Zeman2Janik4n = 6Janik took 4 of 6
S4Zeman2Janik3n = 5Janik took 3 of 5
S5Zeman3Janik1n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricZemanJanikZ − JBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.741.3+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanJanikBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 289 vs 116 / 26456.4%43.9%163 / 289 vs 116 / 264Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.80/Janik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Janik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 27 · 18:10K. Zeman—111148113M. Janik—69111182
LAug 23 · 07:10K. Zeman—11931162M. Janik—511112113
LJun 6 · 10:15K. Zeman—128441M. Janik—101111113
WJun 6 · 09:25K. Zeman—9111011113M. Janik—11712882
WJun 6 · 06:45K. Zeman—1211113M. Janik—10590
WApr 8 · 14:10K. Zeman—149116113M. Janik—121181182
K. Zeman10
WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman1.7381113123K. Przeczek2.0011711101LAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892LAug 31 · 20:10K. Zeman1.445880T. Ogrocki2.631111113WAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113LAug 31 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.8371411113K. Zeman1.831112561WAug 30 · 20:45J. Vanous2.10661181K. Zeman1.6711119113LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman1.6191380J. Vanous2.201115113
M. Janik10
WSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152WSep 2 · 18:10M. Janik2.001111119113O. Skvor1.7313761132WSep 2 · 16:39O. Skvor1.731011971M. Janik2.0012711113LSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481LSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik2.00571181O. Skvor1.7311117113LAug 27 · 19:40V. Reska2.00111011113M. Janik1.73912741LAug 27 · 19:10F. Theodor2.1071111113M. Janik1.67118431
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