TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058104
Played Sep 1Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210411118––
Karel Zeman
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Karel Zeman below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Karel Zeman at 56.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 3–4 Karel Zeman Ondrej Kus has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zeman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kus 1429 vs Zeman 1407
Kus
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 60% vs Zeman 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 70% vs Zeman 40%
Kus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus +1 · Zeman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 2.00 / Zeman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zeman)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13058104
Kus2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 75 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back29% 22 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Zeman1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 62 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it72% 49 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKus3wins
AwayZeman4wins
5 of 7 to a deciderZeman leads 4–3, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKus66.7%2 of 3
AwayZeman75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kus3Zeman4n = 7Zeman took 4 of 7
S2Kus3Zeman4n = 7Zeman took 4 of 7
S3Kus1Zeman6n = 7Zeman took 6 of 7
S4Kus3Zeman2n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
S5Kus3Zeman2n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKusZemanK − ZBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.941.7−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 506 vs 167 / 30050.2%55.7%254 / 506 vs 167 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanKus 2.00/Zeman 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 19 · 19:40O. Kus—116611113K. Zeman—61111472
LAug 17 · 20:45O. Kus—12370K. Zeman—1411113
WAug 17 · 18:15O. Kus—611911113K. Zeman—11511772
LAug 11 · 20:40O. Kus—8470K. Zeman—1111113
LAug 11 · 18:15O. Kus—61111642K. Zeman—116411113
LApr 5 · 15:45O. Kus—159811112K. Zeman—1311117133
WMar 14 · 13:10O. Kus—111194113K. Zeman—79111172
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
K. Zeman10
WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman1.7381113123K. Przeczek2.0011711101LAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892LAug 31 · 20:10K. Zeman1.445880T. Ogrocki2.631111113WAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113LAug 31 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.8371411113K. Zeman1.831112561WAug 30 · 20:45J. Vanous2.10661181K. Zeman1.6711119113LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman1.6191380J. Vanous2.201115113LAug 30 · 18:45V. Reska1.80125711113K. Zeman1.91101111542
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