TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13057947
Played Sep 1Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711116116811811
Jiri Vanous
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:34 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kus to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Ondrej Kus at 64.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 6–4 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vanous
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Kus
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kus 1447 vs Vanous 1345
Kus
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 60% vs Vanous 20%
Kus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 60% vs Vanous 10%
Kus
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus +2 · Vanous -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kus) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 1.83 / Vanous 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kus)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13057947
Kus1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Vanous1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKus6wins
AwayVanous4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKus leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKus66.7%4 of 6
AwayVanous50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kus6Vanous4n = 10Kus took 6 of 10
S2Kus6Vanous4n = 10Kus took 6 of 10
S3Kus4Vanous6n = 10Vanous took 6 of 10
S4Kus4Vanous3n = 7Kus took 4 of 7
S5Kus3Vanous2n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKusVanousK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.036.1+2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 504 vs 119 / 27450.2%43.4%253 / 504 vs 119 / 274Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KusKus 1.83/Vanous 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vanous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 3 · 20:40O. Kus—41020J. Vanous—1112113
LJun 3 · 18:10O. Kus—116891J. Vanous—71111113
WMar 6 · 21:45O. Kus—1111113J. Vanous—4730
WMar 6 · 18:40O. Kus—611116113J. Vanous—11581132
WFeb 9 · 19:40O. Kus—1111113J. Vanous—5690
WFeb 6 · 10:25O. Kus—119211113J. Vanous—71111792
WFeb 6 · 08:15O. Kus—111110113J. Vanous—981261
LJan 18 · 15:45O. Kus—11991152J. Vanous—611118113
LJan 15 · 19:40O. Kus—911911112J. Vanous—116118133
WDec 9 · 21:10O. Kus—711116113J. Vanous—11591132
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
J. Vanous10
LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152LSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin1.5391111113J. Vanous2.38119851LSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113WSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113
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