TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058091
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Vanous
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611511––––
Karel Zeman
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Vanous above · Karel Zeman below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Karel Zeman at 58.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Vanous 12–19 Karel Zeman Jiri Vanous has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-19 in 31
Zeman
Correct
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vanous 1358 vs Zeman 1386
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vanous 40% vs Zeman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vanous 20% vs Zeman 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vanous +1 · Zeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVanous 2.20 / Zeman 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zeman)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13058091
Vanous2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 43 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Zeman1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 62 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it72% 49 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVanous3wins
AwayZeman7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVanous66.7%2 of 3
AwayZeman85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vanous3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Vanous4Zeman6n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S3Vanous6Zeman4n = 10Vanous took 6 of 10
S4Vanous2Zeman6n = 8Zeman took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanousZemanV − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.142.3−5.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanousZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 275 vs 166 / 29943.6%55.5%120 / 275 vs 166 / 299Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanVanous 2.20/Zeman 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 20:45J. Vanous—661181K. Zeman—11119113
WAug 30 · 20:15J. Vanous—1115113K. Zeman—91380
LAug 25 · 19:15J. Vanous—971141K. Zeman—11117113
LJul 29 · 17:40J. Vanous—7670K. Zeman—1111113
LJul 16 · 18:10J. Vanous—9139151K. Zeman—111111173
LJul 10 · 17:45J. Vanous—1041351K. Zeman—121111113
LJul 7 · 19:15J. Vanous—171186102K. Zeman—1561111123
WJun 30 · 20:40J. Vanous—61211123K. Zeman—11109101
WJun 30 · 19:40J. Vanous—118611123K. Zeman—611119102
LJun 25 · 20:15J. Vanous—861181K. Zeman—11118113
J. Vanous10
LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152LSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin1.5391111113J. Vanous2.38119851LSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113WSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113
K. Zeman10
WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman1.7381113123K. Przeczek2.0011711101LAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892LAug 31 · 20:10K. Zeman1.445880T. Ogrocki2.631111113WAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113LAug 31 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.8371411113K. Zeman1.831112561WAug 30 · 20:45J. Vanous2.10661181K. Zeman1.6711119113LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman1.6191380J. Vanous2.201115113LAug 30 · 18:45V. Reska1.80125711113K. Zeman1.91101111542
Upcoming Matches
J. Vanous
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K. Zeman
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