TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13057770
Played Sep 1Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81111713111210––
Kamil Przeczek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Kamil Przeczek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 83 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Karel Zeman at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 5–3 Kamil Przeczek Kamil Przeczek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Zeman
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1387 vs Przeczek 1353
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 40% vs Przeczek 20%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 20% vs Przeczek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -2 · Przeczek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przeczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.73 / Przeczek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Zeman)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13057770
Zeman1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 62 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it72% 49 of 68
Przeczek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 16 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZeman5wins
AwayPrzeczek3wins
4 of 8 to a deciderZeman leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman80%4 of 5
AwayPrzeczek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman5Przeczek3n = 8Zeman took 5 of 8
S2Zeman5Przeczek3n = 8Zeman took 5 of 8
S3Zeman4Przeczek4n = 8split evenly
S4Zeman1Przeczek5n = 6Przeczek took 5 of 6
S5Zeman3Przeczek1n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricZemanPrzeczekZ − PBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match41.138.8+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanPrzeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 301 vs 68 / 15255.5%44.7%167 / 301 vs 68 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.73/Przeczek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman—81113123K. Przeczek—11711101
WAug 21 · 18:15K. Zeman—111289113K. Przeczek—310111152
LJul 20 · 21:15K. Zeman—5470K. Przeczek—1111113
LJul 20 · 18:45K. Zeman—3122101K. Przeczek—111011123
LJun 30 · 17:40K. Zeman—11119892K. Przeczek—381111113
WApr 20 · 18:15K. Zeman—1114118113K. Przeczek—41661132
WApr 8 · 15:40K. Zeman—1110119143K. Przeczek—912611122
WMar 27 · 18:45K. Zeman—1111113K. Przeczek—7670
K. Zeman10
WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113LAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892LAug 31 · 20:10K. Zeman1.445880T. Ogrocki2.631111113WAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113LAug 31 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.8371411113K. Zeman1.831112561WAug 30 · 20:45J. Vanous2.10661181K. Zeman1.6711119113LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman1.6191380J. Vanous2.201115113LAug 30 · 18:45V. Reska1.80125711113K. Zeman1.91101111542
K. Przeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113WSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113LSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113
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