TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13066001
Played Sep 2Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012117911711––
Michal Janik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Michal Janik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 2–1 Michal Janik Michal Janik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janik form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.73 / Janik 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Skvor)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13066001
Skvor1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 35 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it66% 23 of 35
Janik2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 32 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkvor2wins
AwayJanik1wins
Skvor leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvor66.7%2 of 3
AwayJanikn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor3Janik0n = 3Skvor took 3 of 3
S2Skvor2Janik1n = 3Skvor took 2 of 3
S3Skvor1Janik2n = 3Janik took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkvorJanikS − JBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match34.331.3+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorJanikBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 115 vs 117 / 26851.3%43.7%59 / 115 vs 117 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.73/Janik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Janik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 14:10O. Skvor—11117113M. Janik—571181
WAug 23 · 10:10O. Skvor—1111113M. Janik—9760
LAug 23 · 06:10O. Skvor—114871M. Janik—81111113
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113
M. Janik10
WSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152WSep 2 · 18:10M. Janik2.001111119113O. Skvor1.7313761132LSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481LSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik2.00571181O. Skvor1.7311117113WAug 27 · 20:38K. Zeman1.80711981M. Janik1.9111811113LAug 27 · 19:40V. Reska2.00111011113M. Janik1.73912741LAug 27 · 19:10F. Theodor2.1071111113M. Janik1.67118431
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