TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12447921
Played Aug 17Finished
Lukas Krupnik Snr
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114118––––
Zdenek Chovancik
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Snr above · Zdenek Chovancik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8
54 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Snr 6–2 Zdenek Chovancik Zdenek Chovancik has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chovancik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.53 / Chovancik 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Snr)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12447921
Snr1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite47% won 16 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Chovancik2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 11 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSnr6wins
AwayChovancik2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSnr leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr71.4%5 of 7
AwayChovancikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr7Chovancik1n = 8Snr took 7 of 8
S2Snr5Chovancik3n = 8Snr took 5 of 8
S3Snr4Chovancik4n = 8split evenly
S4Snr3Chovancik2n = 5Snr took 3 of 5
S5Snr2Chovancik1n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSnrChovancikS − CBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match38.931.5+7.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrChovancikBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 99 vs 27 / 7247.5%37.5%47 / 99 vs 27 / 72Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.53/Chovancik 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 17 · 06:45L. Snr—1111113Z. Chovancik—5690
LJul 13 · 08:40L. Snr—116971Z. Chovancik—11111113
WJul 13 · 08:10L. Snr—11711113Z. Chovancik—611651
LJun 23 · 12:40L. Snr—11118762Z. Chovancik—651111113
WJun 23 · 11:15L. Snr—511814113Z. Chovancik—116111222
WJun 12 · 08:45L. Snr—119511113Z. Chovancik—81111982
WJun 12 · 08:15L. Snr—1111113Z. Chovancik—5780
WMay 28 · 08:10L. Snr—1111113Z. Chovancik—3590
L. Snr10
WSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113WSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler1.671181171L. Snr2.1013117113WSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113LSep 2 · 07:10L. Snr2.10681151J. Sindler1.6711113113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690LSep 1 · 09:14L. Snr1.4099100F. Mandrysz2.751111123WSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr1.5713113113F. Mandrysz2.251171181WSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler1.57151711972L. Snr2.251715911113LSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491
Z. Chovancik10
WSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 10:10F. Mandrysz1.6791113101Z. Chovancik2.1011515123WAug 17 · 08:15Z. Chovancik1.8081111113K. Drozd1.91114621LAug 17 · 06:45L. Snr1.831111113Z. Chovancik1.835690WAug 17 · 06:15R. Zajac1.83871191Z. Chovancik1.8311115113WJul 13 · 08:40L. Snr1.44116971Z. Chovancik2.6011111113LJul 13 · 08:10Z. Chovancik2.25611651L. Snr1.5811711113LJul 13 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.55111111113Z. Chovancik2.35871391
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.