TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058113
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Krupnik Snr
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9119111012––––
Filip Mandrysz
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Snr above · Filip Mandrysz below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 62 set 3, 10-12
62 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Snr 3–1 Filip Mandrysz Filip Mandrysz has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mandrysz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.40 / Mandrysz 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Snr)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13058113
Snr1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 20 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Mandrysz2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 54 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back32% 25 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSnr3wins
AwayMandrysz1wins
Snr leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr100%3 of 3
AwayMandryszn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr3Mandrysz1n = 4Snr took 3 of 4
S2Snr4Mandrysz0n = 4Snr took 4 of 4
S3Snr2Mandrysz2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSnrMandryszS − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match35.029.0+6.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrMandryszBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 111 vs 205 / 40846.9%50.3%52 / 111 vs 205 / 408Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.40/Mandrysz 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mandrysz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr—13113113F. Mandrysz—1171181
WAug 27 · 08:39L. Snr—1111113F. Mandrysz—3650
LAug 27 · 08:10L. Snr—911791F. Mandrysz—11811113
WAug 14 · 11:40L. Snr—1111113F. Mandrysz—9690
L. Snr10
WSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113WSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler1.671181171L. Snr2.1013117113WSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113LSep 2 · 07:10L. Snr2.10681151J. Sindler1.6711113113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690WSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr1.5713113113F. Mandrysz2.251171181WSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler1.57151711972L. Snr2.251715911113LSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491
F. Mandrysz10
WSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280LSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr1.5713113113F. Mandrysz2.251171181
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