TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055879
Played Sep 1Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
15171715119911711
Lukas Krupnik Snr
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:35 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Lukas Krupnik Snr below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 122 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 59.7%
122 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 8–8 Lukas Krupnik Snr Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sindler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1317 vs Snr 1370
Snr
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 60% vs Snr 20%
Sindler
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 70% vs Snr 30%
Sindler
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler -1 · Snr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.57 / Snr 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sindler)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13055879
Sindler1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite49% won 127 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it68% 83 of 123
Snr2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 24 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler6wins
AwaySnr4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler83.3%5 of 6
AwaySnr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler6Snr4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S2Sindler5Snr5n = 10split evenly
S3Sindler7Snr3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S4Sindler5Snr5n = 10split evenly
S5Sindler1Snr2n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerSnrSindler − SnrBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.638.8+3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 738 vs 54 / 11650.8%46.6%375 / 738 vs 54 / 116Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.57/Snr 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler—1181171L. Snr—13117113
WSep 2 · 07:10J. Sindler—11113113L. Snr—681151
LSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler—151711972L. Snr—1715911113
WAug 27 · 06:10J. Sindler—11513113L. Snr—8111181
LAug 13 · 11:10J. Sindler—111111542L. Snr—713211113
WAug 11 · 05:45J. Sindler—111211113L. Snr—414461
WJun 29 · 09:45J. Sindler—91111113L. Snr—115981
WJun 12 · 06:45J. Sindler—11118113L. Snr—871151
LJun 4 · 12:10J. Sindler—511871L. Snr—11611113
WJun 1 · 12:40J. Sindler—11101110113L. Snr—51251262
J. Sindler10
LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123
L. Snr10
WSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113WSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler1.671181171L. Snr2.1013117113WSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113LSep 2 · 07:10L. Snr2.10681151J. Sindler1.6711113113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690LSep 1 · 09:14L. Snr1.4099100F. Mandrysz2.751111123WSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr1.5713113113F. Mandrysz2.251171181LSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491
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