Jaroslav Sindler vs Adam Strelec 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13060483

Played Sep 2Finished

Jaroslav Sindler

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

131191151113111012

Adam Strelec

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jaroslav Sindler to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Adam Strelec below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 5-11

Set 4 · 13-11

Set 5 · 10-12

Point 106 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%

106 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Sindler 18–16 Adam Strelec Adam Strelec has won 16 of their 34 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 19:33

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Sindler

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

18-16 in 34

Sindler

Wrong

gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sindler 1335 vs Strelec 1318

Sindler

Wrong

both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sindler 40% vs Strelec 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sindler 60% vs Strelec 40%

Sindler

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sindler -1 · Strelec +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Strelec form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSindler 1.80 / Strelec 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Sindler)+2.5pp

TT Cup · #13060483

Sindler1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite50% won 129 of 260

Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50

Up 1–0, closes it67% 84 of 125

Strelec1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog46% won 35 of 77

Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 41

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSindler6wins

AwayStrelec4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSindler83.3%5 of 6

AwayStrelec75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sindler6Strelec4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10

S2Sindler6Strelec4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10

S3Sindler4Strelec6n = 10Strelec took 6 of 10

S4Sindler4Strelec4n = 8split evenly

S5Sindler2Strelec1n = 3Sindler took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSindlerStrelecSindler − StrelecBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.438.1+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSindlerStrelecBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 742 vs 104 / 21450.9%48.6%378 / 742 vs 104 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Sindler

Sindler 1.80/Strelec 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Sindler · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Strelec won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 2 · 06:10J. Sindler—139513102A. Strelec—11111111123

LSep 1 · 08:43J. Sindler—8111151A. Strelec—11139113

WSep 1 · 07:40J. Sindler—11117113A. Strelec—891181

WAug 28 · 06:10J. Sindler—1111810113A. Strelec—66111282

WAug 14 · 11:45J. Sindler—11116113A. Strelec—771171

LAug 6 · 09:13J. Sindler—511291A. Strelec—11911113

WAug 6 · 08:15J. Sindler—51111113A. Strelec—117671

WAug 5 · 09:13J. Sindler—114119113A. Strelec—71161162

LAug 5 · 08:15J. Sindler—9860A. Strelec—1111113

WJul 26 · 15:45J. Sindler—1311113A. Strelec—11390

J. Sindler10

LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113 WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372 WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172 WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102 LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571 LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113 WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113 WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123

A. Strelec10

LSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113 WSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071 WSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131 LSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113 LSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113 WSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113 WSep 1 · 08:43J. Sindler1.838111151A. Strelec1.8311139113 LSep 1 · 07:40J. Sindler1.7311117113A. Strelec2.00891181 LSep 1 · 07:10F. Mandrysz1.671111113A. Strelec2.109460 WSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491

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