TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055788
Played Sep 1Finished
Filip Mandrysz
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114116––––
Adam Strelec
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Mandrysz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingFilip Mandrysz above · Adam Strelec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Filip Mandrysz at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mandrysz 10–7 Adam Strelec Adam Strelec has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:16What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mandrysz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Mandrysz
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mandrysz 1323 vs Strelec 1344
Strelec
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mandrysz 40% vs Strelec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mandrysz 40% vs Strelec 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mandrysz +2 · Strelec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mandrysz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mandrysz form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMandrysz 1.67 / Strelec 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mandrysz)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13055788
Mandrysz1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 70 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 47 of 66
Strelec2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 32 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back24% 9 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMandrysz7wins
AwayStrelec3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMandrysz leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMandrysz100%5 of 5
AwayStrelec60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mandrysz5Strelec5n = 10split evenly
S2Mandrysz6Strelec4n = 10Mandrysz took 6 of 10
S3Mandrysz8Strelec2n = 10Mandrysz took 8 of 10
S4Mandrysz3Strelec5n = 8Strelec took 5 of 8
S5Mandrysz3Strelec1n = 4Mandrysz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMandryszStrelecM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.036.2+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMandryszStrelecBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 406 vs 101 / 20750.3%48.8%204 / 406 vs 101 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrelecMandrysz 1.67/Strelec 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mandrysz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 06:40F. Mandrysz—11411113A. Strelec—711761
WAug 4 · 08:15F. Mandrysz—11911113A. Strelec—611941
WAug 1 · 10:15F. Mandrysz—1191111113A. Strelec—31181382
WJul 26 · 14:15F. Mandrysz—1111113A. Strelec—4640
LJul 21 · 07:45F. Mandrysz—611561A. Strelec—11211113
LJul 2 · 06:40F. Mandrysz—81311882A. Strelec—1111711113
WMay 22 · 09:20F. Mandrysz—1111113A. Strelec—7980
WMay 22 · 06:15F. Mandrysz—411114153A. Strelec—116811132
LMay 20 · 06:10F. Mandrysz—9113101A. Strelec—11411123
WMay 13 · 05:45F. Mandrysz—13121111113A. Strelec—15148372
F. Mandrysz10
LSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113WSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280
A. Strelec10
LSep 7 · 09:13L. Snr1.73911611113A. Strelec2.0011911872LSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131LSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113LSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113WSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113WSep 2 · 06:10J. Sindler1.80139513102A. Strelec1.9111111111123WSep 1 · 08:43J. Sindler1.838111151A. Strelec1.8311139113LSep 1 · 07:40J. Sindler1.7311117113A. Strelec2.00891181
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.