TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091355
Played Sep 7Finished
Filip Mandrysz
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111012116119911
Tadeas Slivka
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingFilip Mandrysz above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mandrysz 8–2 Tadeas Slivka Tadeas Slivka has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Mandrysz beat Slivka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Mandrysz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slivka form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMandrysz 1.28 / Slivka 3.50
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Mandrysz)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13091355
Mandrysz1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 77 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it73% 53 of 73
Slivka3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 11 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMandrysz8wins
AwaySlivka2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMandrysz leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMandrysz87.5%7 of 8
AwaySlivkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mandrysz8Slivka2n = 10Mandrysz took 8 of 10
S2Mandrysz7Slivka3n = 10Mandrysz took 7 of 10
S3Mandrysz7Slivka3n = 10Mandrysz took 7 of 10
S4Mandrysz4Slivka0n = 4Mandrysz took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMandryszSlivkaM − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.427.9+8.5per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMandryszSlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 428 vs 63 / 12850.5%49.2%216 / 428 vs 63 / 128Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MandryszMandrysz 1.28/Slivka 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.7%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slivka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 08:15F. Mandrysz—1111113T. Slivka—9390
WJul 27 · 08:45F. Mandrysz—1111113T. Slivka—9510
WJul 27 · 08:15F. Mandrysz—1111113T. Slivka—7470
WJul 20 · 09:15F. Mandrysz—1114113T. Slivka—91290
WJul 20 · 06:45F. Mandrysz—11116113T. Slivka—531181
WMay 6 · 09:20F. Mandrysz—91111123T. Slivka—1118101
LMay 6 · 08:10F. Mandrysz—10690T. Slivka—1211113
WApr 2 · 07:45F. Mandrysz—15711113T. Slivka—1311971
WFeb 18 · 13:10F. Mandrysz—1111113T. Slivka—5460
LDec 5 · 08:15F. Mandrysz—14671172T. Slivka—1211114113
F. Mandrysz10
WSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280WSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113
T. Slivka10
LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113LAug 20 · 17:10D. Stefek1.571311113T. Slivka2.2511660WAug 20 · 15:40L. Jr2.00119981T. Slivka1.7371111113WAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 14:10T. Slivka2.00551761D. Stefek1.73111115113LAug 19 · 12:43T. Slivka1.50971681M. Sobota2.50111114113LAug 19 · 11:40T. Slivka1.801011331D. Stefek1.9112911113LAug 19 · 10:40T. Slivka1.7311811572P. Sturma2.00611911113
Upcoming Matches
F. Mandrysz
Nothing scheduled
T. Slivka
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