TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13034618
Played Aug 28Finished
Adam Strelec
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511611––––
Jiri Matus
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAdam Strelec above · Jiri Matus below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Adam Strelec 12–8 Jiri Matus Jiri Matus has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Strelec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matus form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrelec 1.73 / Matus 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Strelec)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13034618
Strelec1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 27 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it62% 16 of 26
Matus2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 23 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrelec6wins
AwayMatus4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStrelec leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrelec62.5%5 of 8
AwayMatusn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strelec8Matus2n = 10Strelec took 8 of 10
S2Strelec6Matus4n = 10Strelec took 6 of 10
S3Strelec5Matus5n = 10split evenly
S4Strelec6Matus1n = 7Strelec took 6 of 7
S5Strelec1Matus4n = 5Matus took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrelecMatusS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.639.0+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrelecMatusBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 205 vs 202 / 39348.8%51.4%100 / 205 vs 202 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrelecStrelec 1.73/Matus 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Strelec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Matus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 07:10A. Strelec—1111113J. Matus—6790
LAug 1 · 12:45A. Strelec—11751182J. Matus—911119113
WAug 1 · 11:15A. Strelec—18119113J. Matus—1691191
WJul 26 · 16:48A. Strelec—10111011123J. Matus—128127102
WJul 26 · 15:15A. Strelec—11711143J. Matus—7117121
LJul 3 · 09:15A. Strelec—12147672J. Matus—10121111113
WJul 3 · 06:45A. Strelec—1111113J. Matus—9780
LJun 30 · 07:15A. Strelec—108111122J. Matus—121158113
WMay 22 · 07:45A. Strelec—1111113J. Matus—5720
LMay 20 · 07:40A. Strelec—11671162J. Matus—711116113
A. Strelec10
LSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131LSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113LSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113WSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113WSep 2 · 06:10J. Sindler1.80139513102A. Strelec1.9111111111123WSep 1 · 08:43J. Sindler1.838111151A. Strelec1.8311139113LSep 1 · 07:40J. Sindler1.7311117113A. Strelec2.00891181LSep 1 · 07:10F. Mandrysz1.671111113A. Strelec2.109460
J. Matus10
WSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113LSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 15:15J. Matus1.8011119113L. Jr1.91841191WSep 1 · 13:45J. Jnr1.91111291182J. Matus1.801310117113WSep 1 · 01:10P. Chvojka1.577480J. Matus2.251111113LSep 1 · 24:10J. Matus1.7381111562J. Jnr2.00118311113WAug 31 · 16:45J. Matus1.9111119113P. Chvojka1.80961181LAug 31 · 13:40O. Vaclahovsky1.50118411113J. Matus2.5091111372WAug 29 · 21:10R. Jancak1.6888111182J. Matus1.98111178113LAug 29 · 19:40J. Matus2.1062180R. Jancak1.671111203
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.