TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13039536
Played Aug 29Finished
Jindrich Coufal
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611112911811––
Vladislav Reska
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:50 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJindrich Coufal above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 60.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jindrich Coufal 0–3 Vladislav Reska Jindrich Coufal has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Reska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Reska
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Coufal 1354 vs Reska 1502
Reska
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Coufal 20% vs Reska 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Coufal 30% vs Reska 50%
Reska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Coufal -3 · Reska -1
Coufal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCoufal 2.20 / Reska 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Reska)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13039536
Coufal2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 5 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Reska1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 73 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it78% 52 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCoufal0wins
AwayReska3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderReska leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Coufal1Reska2n = 3Reska took 2 of 3
S2Coufal2Reska1n = 3Coufal took 2 of 3
S3Coufal1Reska2n = 3Reska took 2 of 3
S4Coufal0Reska3n = 3Reska took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCoufalReskaC − RBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.340.0−2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCoufalReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 32 vs 235 / 46734.4%50.3%11 / 32 vs 235 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaCoufal 2.20/Reska 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 29 · 08:39J. Coufal—8118101V. Reska—11511123
LAug 29 · 07:10J. Coufal—611981V. Reska—11211113
LJul 19 · 10:10J. Coufal—13711462V. Reska—1111211113
J. Coufal10
WAug 29 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.5711114111J. Coufal2.2581311133LAug 29 · 11:40P. Jokiel1.6710111410133J. Coufal2.101261212112WAug 29 · 11:10D. Stefek1.806590J. Coufal1.911111113WAug 29 · 10:10J. Coufal1.7371111113T. Ogrocki2.00113361LAug 29 · 08:39V. Reska1.4411511123J. Coufal2.638118101LAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 05:40J. Volny1.731111113J. Coufal2.006750LAug 6 · 16:43J. Coufal1.731471181F. Theodor2.0016115113LAug 6 · 15:45D. Branny1.531011511113J. Coufal2.3812911982WAug 6 · 15:15F. Theodor1.839111341J. Coufal1.83111311113
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WAug 29 · 08:39V. Reska1.4411511123J. Coufal2.638118101
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