TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12447615
Played Aug 17Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117511116––
Ondrej Coufal
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–6Last 9Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Ondrej Coufal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ondrej Kus at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 1–1 Ondrej Coufal Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:14What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kus 1370 vs Coufal 1385
Coufal
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 20% vs Coufal 40%
Coufal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 10% vs Coufal 33%
Coufal
Wrong
23pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus +1 · Coufal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coufal form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 1.80 / Coufal 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kus)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12447615
Kus1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 50 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it67% 38 of 57
Coufal1.91
33%won 3 of 9 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKus1wins
AwayCoufal1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKusCoufalK − CBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.035.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 465 vs 3 / 950.1%33.3%233 / 465 vs 3 / 9Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.431.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KusKus 1.80/Coufal 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 6 · 16:44O. Kus—101111113O. Coufal—126751
LAug 6 · 14:40O. Kus—1111491O. Coufal—51311113
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890
O. Coufal10
LSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 16:10O. Skvor1.73119591O. Coufal2.0081111113WSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 13:40V. Reska1.83311311113O. Coufal1.8311911672WAug 27 · 16:44O. Kus1.3367100O. Coufal3.251111123LAug 27 · 16:10O. Coufal1.7391311101P. Jokiel2.0011154123LAug 27 · 14:40O. Kus1.441111133O. Coufal2.6349110LAug 27 · 14:10M. Janik1.7361111113O. Coufal2.00119861LAug 17 · 17:20O. Coufal1.9681080O. Kus1.701112113WAug 17 · 16:15O. Coufal2.0011511123J. Sindler1.737118101
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