TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029133
Played Aug 27Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141191311––––
Ondrej Coufal
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:49 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kus to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Ondrej Coufal below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 59 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Ondrej Kus at 64.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 3–1 Ondrej Coufal Ondrej Coufal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kus
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kus 1377 vs Coufal 1361
Kus
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 20% vs Coufal 40%
Coufal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 30% vs Coufal 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus -1 · Coufal -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 1.44 / Coufal 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Kus)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13029133
Kus1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 50 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it67% 36 of 54
Coufal2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 4 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKus3wins
AwayCoufal1wins
Kus leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKus66.7%2 of 3
AwayCoufaln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kus3Coufal1n = 4Kus took 3 of 4
S2Kus3Coufal1n = 4Kus took 3 of 4
S3Kus2Coufal2n = 4split evenly
S4Kus2Coufal1n = 3Kus took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKusCoufalK − CBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.531.8+5.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 493 vs 4 / 1349.9%30.8%246 / 493 vs 4 / 13Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.332.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KusKus 1.44/Coufal 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Kus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 17 · 17:20O. Kus—1112113O. Coufal—81080
WAug 17 · 14:45O. Kus—11115113O. Coufal—771161
WAug 6 · 16:44O. Kus—101111113O. Coufal—126751
LAug 6 · 14:40O. Kus—1111491O. Coufal—51311113
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890
O. Coufal10
LSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 16:10O. Skvor1.73119591O. Coufal2.0081111113WSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 13:40V. Reska1.83311311113O. Coufal1.8311911672WAug 27 · 16:44O. Kus1.3367100O. Coufal3.251111123LAug 27 · 16:10O. Coufal1.7391311101P. Jokiel2.0011154123LAug 27 · 14:10M. Janik1.7361111113O. Coufal2.00119861LAug 17 · 17:20O. Coufal1.9681080O. Kus1.701112113WAug 17 · 16:15O. Coufal2.0011511123J. Sindler1.737118101LAug 17 · 14:45O. Kus1.8011115113O. Coufal1.91771161
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.