TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063181
Played Sep 2Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311119311116117
Ondrej Coufal
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Ondrej Coufal below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 83 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 69.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 0–1 Ondrej Coufal Vladislav Reska has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Coufal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Reska 1502 vs Coufal 1329
Reska
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 100% vs Coufal 20%
Reska
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 70% vs Coufal 40%
Reska
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +5 · Coufal +1
Reska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reska) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coufal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.83 / Coufal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Reska)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13063181
Reska1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Coufal1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeReska0wins
AwayCoufal1wins
Coufal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricReskaCoufalR − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match28.040.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 467 vs 5 / 1650.3%31.3%235 / 467 vs 5 / 16Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.332.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.83/Coufal 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 12 · 16:15V. Reska—115841O. Coufal—71111113
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780
O. Coufal10
LSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 16:10O. Skvor1.73119591O. Coufal2.0081111113WSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652WAug 27 · 16:44O. Kus1.3367100O. Coufal3.251111123LAug 27 · 16:10O. Coufal1.7391311101P. Jokiel2.0011154123LAug 27 · 14:40O. Kus1.441111133O. Coufal2.6349110LAug 27 · 14:10M. Janik1.7361111113O. Coufal2.00119861LAug 17 · 17:20O. Coufal1.9681080O. Kus1.701112113WAug 17 · 16:15O. Coufal2.0011511123J. Sindler1.737118101LAug 17 · 14:45O. Kus1.8011115113O. Coufal1.91771161
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