TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081576
Played Sep 5Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14127111513118––
Jakub Volny
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 91 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Adam Kanak at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 4–3 Jakub Volny Jakub Volny has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1556 vs Volny 1566
Volny
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 60% vs Volny 40%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 60% vs Volny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Volny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.73 / Volny 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kanak)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13081576
Kanak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 25 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Volny2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 49 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKanak4wins
AwayVolny3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKanak leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak100%3 of 3
AwayVolny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak3Volny4n = 7Volny took 4 of 7
S2Kanak3Volny4n = 7Volny took 4 of 7
S3Kanak4Volny3n = 7Kanak took 4 of 7
S4Kanak2Volny2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKanakVolnyK − VBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.436.0+2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 87 vs 168 / 34857.5%48.3%50 / 87 vs 168 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.73/Volny 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak—14715113J. Volny—12111381
LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak—6980J. Volny—1111113
LAug 28 · 12:35A. Kanak—1711981J. Volny—19411113
WAug 28 · 10:10A. Kanak—811137123J. Volny—1141111102
WAug 4 · 10:40A. Kanak—111011113J. Volny—412591
LJul 17 · 13:25A. Kanak—8990J. Volny—1111113
WJul 17 · 09:45A. Kanak—1211113J. Volny—10640
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 18:45J. Przybyla1.808121261A. Kanak1.91111410113
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny1.731111113V. Reska2.006960WAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.