TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060765
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711611119117
Adam Kanak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 1–0 Adam Kanak Adam Kanak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Travnicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1599 vs Kanak 1620
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 80% vs Kanak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 60% vs Kanak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +1 · Kanak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Travnicek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.61 / Kanak 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Travnicek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13060765
Travnicek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite42% won 34 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it68% 25 of 37
Kanak2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog66% won 21 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back39% 5 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTravnicek1wins
AwayKanak0wins
Travnicek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTravnicekKanakT − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.035.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 387 vs 45 / 7849.1%57.7%190 / 387 vs 45 / 78Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.61/Kanak 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 24 · 19:10J. Travnicek—11712113A. Kanak—5111091
J. Travnicek10
LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113LSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113WSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 18:45J. Przybyla1.808121261A. Kanak1.91111410113
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