TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058120
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81112141210611––
Adam Kanak
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Przybyla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 84 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jan Przybyla at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 2–2 Adam Kanak Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Przybyla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przybyla 1586 vs Kanak 1587
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przybyla 80% vs Kanak 60%
Przybyla
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przybyla 60% vs Kanak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przybyla +3 · Kanak -2
Przybyla
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przybyla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 1.80 / Kanak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przybyla)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13058120
Przybyla1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 54 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Kanak1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog66% won 21 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back39% 5 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePrzybyla2wins
AwayKanak2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzybyla66.7%2 of 3
AwayKanakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przybyla3Kanak1n = 4Przybyla took 3 of 4
S2Przybyla2Kanak2n = 4split evenly
S3Przybyla2Kanak2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricPrzybylaKanakP − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match30.230.5−0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 404 vs 43 / 7653.5%56.6%216 / 404 vs 43 / 76Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzybylaPrzybyla 1.80/Kanak 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przybyla · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 31 · 09:08J. Przybyla—1111123A. Kanak—72100
LAug 31 · 07:15J. Przybyla—1111481A. Kanak—91311113
LAug 27 · 09:13J. Przybyla—8630A. Kanak—1111113
WAug 27 · 08:15J. Przybyla—1111143A. Kanak—59120
J. Przybyla10
LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113LSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100
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A. Kanak
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