TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058324
Played Sep 1Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101191210––––
Daniel Branny
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 64 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Adam Kanak at 58.9%
64 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 3–1 Daniel Branny Daniel Branny has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kanak
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1599 vs Branny 1529
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 60% vs Branny 40%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 60% vs Branny 40%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Branny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.57 / Branny 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kanak)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13058324
Kanak1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 21 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Branny2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 24 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKanak3wins
AwayBranny1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderKanak leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBranny25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak0Branny4n = 4Branny took 4 of 4
S2Kanak2Branny2n = 4split evenly
S3Kanak2Branny2n = 4split evenly
S4Kanak2Branny1n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
S5Kanak3Branny0n = 3Kanak took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKanakBrannyK − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match40.843.0−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 77 vs 167 / 32257.1%51.9%44 / 77 vs 167 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.57/Branny 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 21 · 07:40A. Kanak—791111113D. Branny—11119772
LAug 4 · 13:15A. Kanak—7550D. Branny—1111113
WAug 4 · 12:10A. Kanak—715116113D. Branny—111391152
WJul 21 · 18:15A. Kanak—811411133D. Branny—114118112
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 18:45J. Przybyla1.808121261A. Kanak1.91111410113
D. Branny10
WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113WSep 1 · 19:15D. Branny2.0011118113J. Travnicek1.73781161LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102WAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota1.6110760D. Branny2.201211113LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny1.7311119772A. Kanak2.00791111113LAug 21 · 06:40D. Branny1.6111181152L. Kantor2.20116116113LAug 21 · 05:40D. Branny2.10116881L. Lasota1.6781111113WAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791
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