TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12469283
Played Aug 21Finished
Laurent Lasota
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711611––––
Daniel Branny
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 57 set 3, 6-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Laurent Lasota 6–4 Daniel Branny Daniel Branny has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lasota)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 1.61 / Branny 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Lasota)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12469283
Lasota1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 56 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46
Branny2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 27 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLasota6wins
AwayBranny4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLasota leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLasota83.3%5 of 6
AwayBranny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lasota6Branny4n = 10Lasota took 6 of 10
S2Lasota5Branny5n = 10split evenly
S3Lasota6Branny4n = 10Lasota took 6 of 10
S4Lasota2Branny1n = 3Lasota took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLasotaBrannyL − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.832.4+0.4per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 257 vs 165 / 31949.8%51.7%128 / 257 vs 165 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LasotaLasota 1.61/Branny 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Lasota · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 05:40L. Lasota—81111113D. Branny—116881
LAug 17 · 13:15L. Lasota—11681372D. Branny—8111111113
WAug 17 · 09:45L. Lasota—1114183D. Branny—412160
WAug 14 · 08:15L. Lasota—119115113D. Branny—91191192
LJul 22 · 18:10L. Lasota—7550D. Branny—1111113
WJul 17 · 21:09L. Lasota—1111113D. Branny—7650
WJul 17 · 19:40L. Lasota—1111113D. Branny—9870
LJun 14 · 21:10L. Lasota—51030D. Branny—1112113
WJun 14 · 17:40L. Lasota—1111113D. Branny—4750
LApr 10 · 20:10L. Lasota—6750D. Branny—1111113
L. Lasota10
WSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113LSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113LSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841
D. Branny10
WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113LSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 19:15D. Branny2.0011118113J. Travnicek1.73781161LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny1.7311119772A. Kanak2.00791111113LAug 21 · 06:40D. Branny1.6111181152L. Kantor2.20116116113LAug 21 · 05:40D. Branny2.10116881L. Lasota1.6781111113WAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791
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