TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12467493
Played Aug 21Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111116811116511
Lukas Kantor
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:44 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 81 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Daniel Branny at 65.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 3–3 Lukas Kantor Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Branny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1523 vs Kantor 1460
Branny
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 40% vs Kantor 20%
Branny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 50% vs Kantor 30%
Branny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny -1 · Kantor +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Branny) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kantor form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 1.61 / Kantor 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Branny)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12467493
Branny1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 65 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 39 of 50
Kantor2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 57 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBranny3wins
AwayKantor3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrannyn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKantor50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny0Kantor6n = 6Kantor took 6 of 6
S2Branny5Kantor1n = 6Branny took 5 of 6
S3Branny3Kantor3n = 6split evenly
S4Branny4Kantor1n = 5Branny took 4 of 5
S5Branny1Kantor2n = 3Kantor took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBrannyKantorB − KBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match39.740.2−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 320 vs 156 / 31651.9%49.4%166 / 320 vs 156 / 316Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrannyBranny 1.61/Kantor 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Branny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 21 · 06:40D. Branny—11181152L. Kantor—116116113
WAug 14 · 06:15D. Branny—91111163L. Kantor—1197141
WMay 13 · 10:45D. Branny—911115113L. Kantor—11651152
LMay 13 · 08:10D. Branny—81141162L. Kantor—116119113
LMar 5 · 16:45D. Branny—9960L. Kantor—1111113
WJan 19 · 17:15D. Branny—81114113L. Kantor—1141291
D. Branny10
WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113LSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 19:15D. Branny2.0011118113J. Travnicek1.73781161LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102WAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota1.6110760D. Branny2.201211113LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny1.7311119772A. Kanak2.00791111113LAug 21 · 05:40D. Branny2.10116881L. Lasota1.6781111113WAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791
L. Kantor10
LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.53911981L. Kantor2.3811611113WSep 3 · 09:08L. Kantor2.1011911113D. Pawlik1.67611891WSep 3 · 07:40D. Pawlik1.50611681L. Kantor2.5011911113
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