TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12467442
Played Aug 21Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119911711711
Adam Kanak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Branny at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 1–3 Adam Kanak Daniel Branny has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:36What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Branny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kanak
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1523 vs Kanak 1511
Branny
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 40% vs Kanak 80%
Kanak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 50% vs Kanak 70%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny -2 · Kanak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Branny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 1.73 / Kanak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Branny)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12467442
Branny1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 65 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 39 of 50
Kanak2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog63% won 12 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back43% 3 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBranny1wins
AwayKanak3wins
3 of 4 to a deciderKanak leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBranny25%1 of 4
AwayKanakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny4Kanak0n = 4Branny took 4 of 4
S2Branny2Kanak2n = 4split evenly
S3Branny2Kanak2n = 4split evenly
S4Branny1Kanak2n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
S5Branny0Kanak3n = 3Kanak took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away375%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBrannyKanakB − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match43.040.8+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 320 vs 30 / 5151.9%58.8%166 / 320 vs 30 / 51Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrannyBranny 1.73/Kanak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Branny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny—11119772A. Kanak—791111113
WAug 4 · 13:15D. Branny—1111113A. Kanak—7550
LAug 4 · 12:10D. Branny—111391152A. Kanak—715116113
LJul 21 · 18:15D. Branny—114118112A. Kanak—811411133
D. Branny10
WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113LSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 19:15D. Branny2.0011118113J. Travnicek1.73781161LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102WAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota1.6110760D. Branny2.201211113LAug 21 · 06:40D. Branny1.6111181152L. Kantor2.20116116113LAug 21 · 05:40D. Branny2.10116881L. Lasota1.6781111113WAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100
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