TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060766
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711511––––
Daniel Branny
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeJan Przybyla to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jan Przybyla at 58.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 18–12 Daniel Branny Daniel Branny has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Przybyla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-12 in 30
Przybyla
Wrong
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przybyla 1562 vs Branny 1508
Przybyla
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przybyla 40% vs Branny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przybyla 50% vs Branny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przybyla -2 · Branny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przybyla) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 1.73 / Branny 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przybyla)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13060766
Przybyla1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 54 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Branny2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 24 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzybyla8wins
AwayBranny2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPrzybyla leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzybyla87.5%7 of 8
AwayBrannyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przybyla8Branny2n = 10Przybyla took 8 of 10
S2Przybyla5Branny5n = 10split evenly
S3Przybyla4Branny6n = 10Branny took 6 of 10
S4Przybyla5Branny2n = 7Przybyla took 5 of 7
S5Przybyla4Branny1n = 5Przybyla took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzybylaBrannyP − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.838.0+3.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 406 vs 167 / 32353.2%51.7%216 / 406 vs 167 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzybylaPrzybyla 1.73/Branny 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Przybyla · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla—116811123D. Branny—611119102
LAug 12 · 10:15J. Przybyla—141540D. Branny—1617113
WJul 8 · 18:15J. Przybyla—911614113D. Branny—117111272
WJun 29 · 18:15J. Przybyla—1111113D. Branny—7750
WJun 21 · 18:10J. Przybyla—1111113D. Branny—7450
WMay 28 · 21:15J. Przybyla—1171111113D. Branny—71171372
WMay 28 · 19:45J. Przybyla—11119143D. Branny—4511121
WMay 25 · 15:45J. Przybyla—116117113D. Branny—91191182
LMay 24 · 21:20J. Przybyla—11711172D. Branny—411119113
WMay 24 · 18:15J. Przybyla—11118113D. Branny—891171
J. Przybyla10
LSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113LSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972
D. Branny10
LSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 19:15D. Branny2.0011118113J. Travnicek1.73781161LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102WAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota1.6110760D. Branny2.201211113LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny1.7311119772A. Kanak2.00791111113LAug 21 · 06:40D. Branny1.6111181152L. Kantor2.20116116113LAug 21 · 05:40D. Branny2.10116881L. Lasota1.6781111113WAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791
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