TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058344
Played Sep 1Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118811116––
Jakub Travnicek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Jakub Travnicek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-5
Point 70 set 4, 9-5 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
70 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Daniel Branny 1–2 Jakub Travnicek Daniel Branny has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Travnicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1529 vs Travnicek 1586
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 20% vs Travnicek 100%
Travnicek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 40% vs Travnicek 60%
Travnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny -1 · Travnicek +5
Travnicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Travnicek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 2.00 / Travnicek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Travnicek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13058344
Branny2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 24 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Travnicek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite42% won 34 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it68% 25 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBranny1wins
AwayTravnicek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTravnicek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny2Travnicek1n = 3Branny took 2 of 3
S2Branny1Travnicek2n = 3Travnicek took 2 of 3
S3Branny1Travnicek2n = 3Travnicek took 2 of 3
S4Branny2Travnicek1n = 3Branny took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrannyTravnicekB − TBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.343.3−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyTravnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 322 vs 190 / 38751.9%49.1%167 / 322 vs 190 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekBranny 2.00/Travnicek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 3 · 19:15D. Branny—9612101J. Travnicek—111110123
WJun 23 · 20:50D. Branny—11117113J. Travnicek—891161
LJun 23 · 18:15D. Branny—11871262J. Travnicek—9111110113
D. Branny10
WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113LSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102WAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota1.6110760D. Branny2.201211113LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny1.7311119772A. Kanak2.00791111113LAug 21 · 06:40D. Branny1.6111181152L. Kantor2.20116116113LAug 21 · 05:40D. Branny2.10116881L. Lasota1.6781111113WAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791
J. Travnicek10
LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113LSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113WSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123
Upcoming Matches
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J. Travnicek
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