TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063581
Played Sep 2Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111179111012––
Jakub Travnicek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Jakub Travnicek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 74 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 15–15 Jakub Travnicek Dead even across their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Travnicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-15 in 30
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1524 vs Travnicek 1602
Travnicek
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 80% vs Travnicek 60%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 70% vs Travnicek 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman +2 · Travnicek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 2.00 / Travnicek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Travnicek)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #13063581
Heuman2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 60 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back36% 20 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Travnicek1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite43% won 36 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it71% 27 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeuman4wins
AwayTravnicek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTravnicek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeuman100%3 of 3
AwayTravnicek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman3Travnicek7n = 10Travnicek took 7 of 10
S2Heuman5Travnicek5n = 10split evenly
S3Heuman4Travnicek6n = 10Travnicek took 6 of 10
S4Heuman5Travnicek3n = 8Heuman took 5 of 8
S5Heuman1Travnicek2n = 3Travnicek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeumanTravnicekH − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.642.7−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanTravnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 387 vs 193 / 39149.4%49.4%191 / 387 vs 193 / 391Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekHeuman 2.00/Travnicek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 19:15I. Heuman—5101171J. Travnicek—11128113
WAug 25 · 19:10I. Heuman—71111113J. Travnicek—115881
LAug 24 · 18:10I. Heuman—1012111082J. Travnicek—1210912113
LAug 21 · 21:10I. Heuman—71080J. Travnicek—1112113
WAug 21 · 17:40I. Heuman—19118113J. Travnicek—1771181
LAug 17 · 21:05I. Heuman—612111242J. Travnicek—1114910113
WAug 17 · 19:10I. Heuman—116911123J. Travnicek—811116102
WAug 14 · 18:15I. Heuman—112110113J. Travnicek—9191291
LAug 8 · 20:39I. Heuman—811871J. Travnicek—11511113
LAug 8 · 19:45I. Heuman—89100J. Travnicek—1111123
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113WSep 2 · 18:45D. Skulina1.83101112482I. Heuman1.831281011113
J. Travnicek10
LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113LSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LSep 2 · 19:15J. Travnicek1.571457131A. Cizek2.25121111153
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