TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084556
Played Sep 5Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711411––––
Tomas Lysek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Lysek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Tomas Lysek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 53 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Lysek at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 0–1 Tomas Lysek Ivan Heuman has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Lysek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1556 vs Lysek 1537
Heuman
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 60% vs Lysek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 50% vs Lysek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman -1 · Lysek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Lysek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 2.63 / Lysek 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Lysek)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13084556
Heuman2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 63 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back35% 20 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Lysek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 44 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHeuman0wins
AwayLysek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLysek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHeumanLysekH − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match54.055.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 396 vs 122 / 22849.2%53.5%195 / 396 vs 122 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysekHeuman 2.63/Lysek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Lysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 20:15I. Heuman—119129132T. Lysek—8111011153
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123WSep 2 · 18:45D. Skulina1.83101112482I. Heuman1.831281011113
T. Lysek10
WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113WAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791WAug 28 · 14:45T. Lysek1.83111011113V. Reska1.83812991
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