TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081569
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Lysek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1178115111181012
Adam Kanak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Lysek above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Adam Kanak at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Lysek 1–0 Adam Kanak Adam Kanak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lysek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lysek 1515 vs Kanak 1588
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysek 60% vs Kanak 80%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysek 50% vs Kanak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysek -1 · Kanak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 1.80 / Kanak 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kanak)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13081569
Lysek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 44 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Kanak1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog63% won 22 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back33% 5 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLysek1wins
AwayKanak0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLysek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLysekKanakL − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.050.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 222 vs 49 / 8453.6%58.3%119 / 222 vs 49 / 84Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakLysek 1.80/Kanak 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 10:40T. Lysek—511911123A. Kanak—119119102
T. Lysek10
WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113WAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791WAug 28 · 14:45T. Lysek1.83111011113V. Reska1.83812991
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 18:45J. Przybyla1.808121261A. Kanak1.91111410113
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